Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Elias 42.7% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 60.8%
Defensive zone
Elias 52.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 54.5%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Jokinen
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jokinen
Elias
Last 8: Jokinen 4-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Jokinen
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.5%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
48.4% (405)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
36.0% (367)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Elias
Home
57.8% (1,369)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Jokinen
Elias
P1
53.4%
41.1%
P2
54.4%
43.1%
P3
53.7%
43.0%
OT
66.1%
43.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |