Justin Abdelkader vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%). Look for Abdelkader on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 72.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.8%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 57.7%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Abdelkader
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Abdelkader
Eller
Last 8: Abdelkader 5-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
1
0
Abdelkader
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Abdelkader
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
4
1
Abdelkader
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
51.1% (10,321)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
52.8% (621)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
46.6% (1,759)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Abdelkader has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Eller
Home
54.5% (642)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
48.7% (735)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Abdelkader
Eller
P1
49.5%
51.2%
P2
51.9%
50.1%
P3
53.3%
50.2%
OT
38.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Justin Abdelkader |