Justin Abdelkader vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 51.3% vs Hertl 54.3% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 50.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 50.4%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 52.2%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Abdelkader
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,126)
53.9% (8,303)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
59.2% (1,995)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (174)
46.3% (806)
+5.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Abdelkader is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Abdelkader shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Hertl
Home
54.5% (642)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
48.7% (735)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Abdelkader
Hertl
P1
49.5%
53.6%
P2
51.9%
54.2%
P3
53.3%
55.3%
OT
38.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.4%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%