Justin Danforth vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Backlund 49.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 61.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Danforth
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Danforth
Backlund
Last 8: Danforth 1-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Danforth
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Danforth
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
49.7% (13,463)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
51.5% (1,338)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
43.9% (2,465)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Danforth
Backlund
Home
51.4% (619)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
48.3% (642)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Danforth
Backlund
P1
49.1%
48.5%
P2
51.4%
50.3%
P3
48.3%
48.4%
OT
64.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |