Justin Danforth vs Noah Cates

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Justin Danforth holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Danforth 51.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone Cates 60.8%
Defensive zone Cates 59.1%
Neutral zone Cates 56.6%
Result Noah Cates favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Danforth Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Danforth
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
78.9% (19)
45.5% (756)
+33.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.1% (114)
+57.9%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
44.7% (47)
-35.6%
On power play, Danforth has a +57.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Cates shoots left. Danforth is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Danforth shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Danforth
Cates
Home
50.0% (24)
46.2% (468)
Away
71.4% (7)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Danforth
Cates
P1
55.6%
46.0%
P2
62.5%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
75.0%
44.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%
51.5%
54.8%
Cates
50.0%
45.5%
45.0%