Justin Danforth vs Pontus Holmberg
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Holmberg 46.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 51.7%
Defensive zone
Danforth 70.0%
Neutral zone
Danforth 61.5%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Danforth
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danforth
Holmberg
Last 5: Danforth 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
2
Danforth
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
45.3% (676)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
50.0% (22)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
45.9% (61)
-5.8%
On even strength, Danforth has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Danforth
Holmberg
Home
51.4% (619)
46.2% (422)
Away
48.3% (642)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Danforth
Holmberg
P1
49.1%
53.1%
P2
51.4%
40.9%
P3
48.3%
42.3%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |