Justin Danforth vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danforth wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 87.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 63.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Danforth
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Danforth
Stamkos
Last 7: Danforth 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Danforth
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
50.5% (9,825)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
55.2% (1,729)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
49.6% (827)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Danforth is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Danforth shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Danforth
Stamkos
Home
51.4% (619)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.3% (642)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Danforth
Stamkos
P1
49.1%
49.2%
P2
51.4%
52.7%
P3
48.3%
50.9%
OT
64.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |