Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 51.1% vs Thompson 45.2% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 60.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Danforth
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
78.9% (19)
44.6% (661)
+34.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.4% (95)
+51.6%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
33.3% (33)
-24.2%
On power play, Danforth has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Danforth is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Danforth shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Danforth
Thompson
Home
50.0% (24)
45.7% (411)
Away
71.4% (7)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Danforth
Thompson
P1
55.6%
47.7%
P2
62.5%
45.7%
P3
50.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
75.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%