Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 51.1% vs Novak 42.5% (+14.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.9%
Defensive zone
Danforth 61.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Danforth
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
78.9% (19)
40.4% (408)
+38.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
45.5% (33)
+54.5%
On power play, Danforth has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Danforth is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Danforth shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Danforth
Novak
Home
50.0% (24)
42.0% (212)
Away
71.4% (7)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Danforth
Novak
P1
55.6%
41.9%
P2
62.5%
39.3%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
75.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%