Justin Dowling vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 63.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 62.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Dowling
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dowling
Zibanejad
Last 9: Dowling 5-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowling
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dowling
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
50.9% (11,756)
-1.5%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
52.2% (1,852)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.6% (1,796)
-8.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Dowling
Zibanejad
Home
48.2% (301)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
49.2% (392)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Dowling
Zibanejad
P1
47.6%
50.4%
P2
50.4%
49.7%
P3
48.3%
49.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |