Justin Dowling vs Mika Zibanejad

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 48.9% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Zibanejad 59.0%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 58.9%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 58.6%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Dowling Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Dowling Zibanejad
Last 9: Dowling 5-4 Zibanejad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowling Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dowling Zibanejad
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
50.8% (11,540)
-1.4%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
52.2% (1,848)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.3% (1,766)
-8.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +11.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,527).
Home / Away
Dowling
Zibanejad
Home
48.2% (301)
51.6% (7,444)
Away
49.2% (392)
48.3% (7,711)
By Period
Dowling
Zibanejad
P1
47.6%
50.4%
P2
50.4%
49.7%
P3
48.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
48.8%
Zibanejad
46.0%
54.0%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 5, 2025 3 17:11 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Apr 5, 2025 3 14:59 Neutral Justin Dowling
Apr 5, 2025 3 10:06 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Apr 5, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Apr 5, 2025 2 04:16 Offensive Justin Dowling
Apr 5, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Justin Dowling
Apr 5, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Justin Dowling
Dec 2, 2024 3 12:16 Defensive Justin Dowling
Mar 10, 2020 3 11:52 Neutral Mika Zibanejad