Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowling wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.9% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 50.4%
Defensive zone
Dowling 72.2%
Neutral zone
Dowling 60.2%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Dowling
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dowling
Suzuki
Last 5: Dowling 0-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Dowling
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Dowling
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (652)
49.4% (6,368)
+0.0%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
50.8% (1,355)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.0% (466)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowling is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Dowling shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Dowling
Suzuki
Home
48.2% (301)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
49.2% (392)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Dowling
Suzuki
P1
47.6%
48.9%
P2
50.4%
49.1%
P3
48.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |