Justin Dowling vs Sam Carrick

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Carrick 54.2% (-21.7%)
Offensive zone Dowling 71.3%
Defensive zone Carrick 68.8%
Neutral zone Carrick 57.8%
Result Sam Carrick favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Dowling Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
55.5% (470)
-22.2%
On even strength, Carrick has a +22.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dowling is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Dowling shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Dowling
Carrick
Home
100.0% (1)
58.6% (261)
Away
0.0% (2)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Dowling
Carrick
P1
33.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Carrick
60.0%
57.0%
55.0%