Justin Dowling vs Steven Lorentz

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Lorentz holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-15.7%)
Offensive zone Dowling 63.5%
Defensive zone Lorentz 59.2%
Neutral zone Lorentz 60.4%
Result Steven Lorentz favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Dowling Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
51.4% (74)
-18.1%
On even strength, Lorentz has a +18.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Dowling shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Dowling
Lorentz
Home
100.0% (1)
52.9% (68)
Away
0.0% (2)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Dowling
Lorentz
P1
33.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
52.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Lorentz
48.0%
48.0%
49.0%