Justin Hryckowian vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hryckowian on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.1% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 92.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 80.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Last 6: Hryckowian 6-0 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
3
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
1
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (238)
60.8% (362)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
83.3% (6)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
56.2% (146)
-22.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hryckowian is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Hryckowian shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Kastelic
Home
57.7% (142)
60.3% (242)
Away
53.3% (135)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Hryckowian
Kastelic
P1
49.4%
58.9%
P2
64.5%
57.3%
P3
49.4%
64.0%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
48.0%▼
55.0%
55.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |