Justin Hryckowian vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Hryckowian wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.1% vs Buchnevich 43.0% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 90.6%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 81.0%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Last 5: Hryckowian 4-1 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (238)
39.8% (181)
+18.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
42.9% (14)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On even strength, Hryckowian has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hryckowian is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Hryckowian shoots left. Buchnevich is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Home
57.7% (142)
40.7% (118)
Away
53.3% (135)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
P1
49.4%
41.6%
P2
64.5%
34.3%
P3
49.4%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
48.0%▼
55.0%
55.6%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |