Justin Hryckowian vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Hryckowian wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.2% vs Buchnevich 35.8% (+21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 77.6%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 93.0%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 87.8%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Last 5: Hryckowian 4-1 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (243)
34.3% (922)
+24.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
44.2% (52)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
24.3% (37)
+9.0%
On even strength, Hryckowian has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hryckowian is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Hryckowian shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.2% vs left-shot opponents (663).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Home
57.8% (147)
35.6% (517)
Away
53.3% (135)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
P1
48.7%
35.1%
P2
64.8%
34.2%
P3
49.4%
33.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
48.0%▼
55.0%
55.7%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
34.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |