Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kirkland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Kirkland 50.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kirkland 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 63.9%
Neutral zone
Kirkland 60.1%
Result
Justin Kirkland favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Veleno
Kirkland
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Veleno
Kirkland
Last 7: Veleno 1-6 Kirkland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kirkland
0
2
Veleno
Kirkland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kirkland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
0
3
Veleno
Kirkland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kirkland
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
51.0% (102)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
47.8% (23)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Kirkland has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kirkland shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Veleno shoots left. Kirkland is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kirkland
Home
49.6% (123)
50.0% (60)
Away
52.2% (184)
50.0% (66)
By Period
Veleno
Kirkland
P1
54.1%
55.6%
P2
48.8%
44.2%
P3
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |