Justin Kirkland vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kirkland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 48.2% vs Frost 50.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 86.9%
Neutral zone
Kirkland 67.4%
Result
Justin Kirkland favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kirkland
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kirkland
Frost
Last 5: Kirkland 1-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Kirkland
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Kirkland
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
49.7% (3,652)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.4% (632)
-55.4%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
55.0% (40)
-16.1%
On power play, Frost has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kirkland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Kirkland shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Frost
Home
48.0% (148)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
47.1% (119)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Kirkland
Frost
P1
55.1%
51.2%
P2
46.0%
51.3%
P3
41.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |