Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kirkland wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 48.2% vs Washe 54.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kirkland 76.0%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kirkland 74.6%
Result
Justin Kirkland favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Kirkland
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kirkland
Washe
Last 5: Kirkland 1-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Washe
1
2
Kirkland
Washe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
2
Kirkland
Washe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
59.2% (272)
-10.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
100.0% (3)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
40.4% (57)
-1.5%
On power play, Washe has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Kirkland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Kirkland shoots left. Washe is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Washe
Home
48.0% (148)
61.4% (145)
Away
47.1% (119)
52.4% (187)
By Period
Kirkland
Washe
P1
55.1%
57.7%
P2
46.0%
58.3%
P3
41.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Washe
56.0%▬
55.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |