Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Reichel 44.2% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Reichel 55.5%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 62.7%
Neutral zone
Reichel 50.3%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Sourdif
Reichel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
39.7% (116)
+4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Sourdif has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Reichel is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Reichel
Home
43.6% (321)
35.2% (71)
Away
46.2% (301)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Sourdif
Reichel
P1
41.9%
56.8%
P2
44.3%
33.3%
P3
47.9%
29.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%