Justin Sourdif vs Quinton Byfield
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.9% vs 45.4%). Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Byfield 45.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 58.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 57.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 65.6%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Sourdif
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sourdif
Byfield
Last 7: Sourdif 5-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
2
0
Sourdif
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
2
1
Sourdif
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sourdif
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
46.8% (801)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
50.8% (59)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
35.9% (153)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Byfield is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Byfield
Home
43.6% (321)
46.3% (462)
Away
46.2% (301)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Sourdif
Byfield
P1
41.9%
44.6%
P2
44.3%
43.4%
P3
47.9%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |