Justin Sourdif vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sourdif wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 82.8%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 77.5%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 83.0%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Sourdif
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sourdif
Trocheck
Last 5: Sourdif 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Sourdif
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
0
Sourdif
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Sourdif
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
58.0% (666)
-13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
64.8% (165)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
43.4% (152)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Sourdif is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Sourdif shoots right. Trocheck is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Trocheck
Home
43.6% (321)
55.3% (436)
Away
46.2% (301)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Sourdif
Trocheck
P1
41.9%
56.4%
P2
44.3%
58.7%
P3
47.9%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |