Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Cullen 53.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Williams 86.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 89.8%
Neutral zone
Cullen 59.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Williams
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Williams
Cullen
Last 10: Williams 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
3
0
Williams
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
5
Williams
Cullen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
54.8% (5,371)
-13.3%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
52.3% (421)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
48.0% (953)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Williams shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Williams
Cullen
Home
46.2% (327)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
43.3% (328)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Williams
Cullen
P1
39.9%
54.7%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
49.0%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 16, 2016 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |