Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kakko 49.6% vs Backlund 49.8% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kakko 84.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.4%
Result
Kaapo Kakko favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Kakko
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kakko
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kakko
2
0
Kakko
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kakko
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (23)
50.5% (944)
+1.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
51.5% (66)
-14.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kakko is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Kakko shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Kakko
Backlund
Home
43.8% (16)
48.1% (636)
Away
53.3% (15)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Kakko
Backlund
P1
60.0%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
54.1%
P3
36.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kakko
52.0%▲
47.8%
48.4%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Kaapo Kakko |