Kasperi Kapanen vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kapanen wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 40.6% vs McTavish 48.9% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 61.2%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 53.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 61.3%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kapanen
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kapanen
McTavish
Last 9: Kapanen 3-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
1
Kapanen
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
4
Kapanen
McTavish
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kapanen
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (212)
48.4% (2,704)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.7% (421)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
34.3% (35)
-0.2%
On even strength, McTavish has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kapanen is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Kapanen shoots right. McTavish is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,070).
Home / Away
Kapanen
McTavish
Home
39.7% (116)
50.2% (1,592)
Away
34.8% (141)
47.5% (1,568)
By Period
Kapanen
McTavish
P1
35.6%
50.3%
P2
34.1%
48.1%
P3
41.3%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▲
39.0%
37.0%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |