Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 35.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 40.5% vs Strome 44.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 52.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 57.2%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Kapanen
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kapanen
Strome
Last 5: Kapanen 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Kapanen
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (213)
44.2% (6,887)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
49.2% (855)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
41.5% (410)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kapanen is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Kapanen shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Strome
Home
39.7% (116)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
34.5% (142)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Kapanen
Strome
P1
35.6%
43.9%
P2
34.1%
45.4%
P3
40.7%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
36.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Kasperi Kapanen |