Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 45.7% vs Nosek 51.4% (-17.7%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 70.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 63.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.3%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kapanen
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (32)
54.4% (215)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
23.5% (17)
+9.8%
On even strength, Nosek has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kapanen is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Kapanen shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Nosek
Home
33.3% (21)
50.4% (127)
Away
35.3% (17)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Kapanen
Nosek
P1
29.4%
51.4%
P2
45.5%
51.3%
P3
30.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▲
39.0%
34.2%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.9%