Keegan Kolesar vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kolesar on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kolesar wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.3% vs Bellemare 51.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 72.4%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 80.8%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 51.1%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Kolesar
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kolesar
Bellemare
Last 8: Kolesar 4-4 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
3
2
Kolesar
Bellemare
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bellemare
1
2
Kolesar
Bellemare
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (383)
53.4% (5,002)
-11.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
58.2% (98)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
45.0% (1,579)
-9.7%
On even strength, Bellemare has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Kolesar is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Kolesar shoots right. Bellemare is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,559).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Bellemare
Home
38.0% (192)
53.4% (3,409)
Away
44.9% (214)
49.5% (3,270)
By Period
Kolesar
Bellemare
P1
42.1%
52.2%
P2
43.2%
51.5%
P3
38.9%
51.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
41.6%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |