Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kolesar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.3% vs Hartman 45.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 77.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 67.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Kolesar
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kolesar
Hartman
Last 7: Kolesar 5-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kolesar
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
2
0
Kolesar
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kolesar
2
1
Kolesar
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (383)
45.2% (4,279)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.3% (446)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
42.4% (262)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kolesar is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Kolesar shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Hartman
Home
38.0% (192)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
44.9% (214)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Kolesar
Hartman
P1
42.1%
46.1%
P2
43.2%
42.9%
P3
38.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
41.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |