Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.8% vs Couturier 54.5% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 54.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 60.5%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 51.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kolesar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kolesar
Couturier
Last 5: Kolesar 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
1
0
Kolesar
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kolesar
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kolesar
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (170)
57.4% (303)
-16.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
65.5% (55)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
40.0% (70)
-6.7%
On even strength, Couturier has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kolesar is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Kolesar shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Couturier
Home
38.0% (92)
54.3% (219)
Away
42.7% (96)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Kolesar
Couturier
P1
41.0%
53.2%
P2
41.9%
54.8%
P3
37.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
38.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |