Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Matthias 46.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 68.5%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 63.8%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 65.9%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Aucoin
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Aucoin
Matthias
Last 8: Aucoin 6-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Aucoin
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Aucoin
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
5
0
Aucoin
Matthias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
46.4% (1,716)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.3% (103)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
41.7% (175)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Matthias
Home
52.6% (215)
46.9% (933)
Away
45.1% (268)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Aucoin
Matthias
P1
45.8%
47.8%
P2
49.2%
49.4%
P3
51.9%
41.6%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |