Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 59.9%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 80.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 67.9%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Aucoin
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Aucoin
Crosby
Last 8: Aucoin 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Aucoin
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Aucoin
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Aucoin
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
52.8% (18,031)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
57.4% (4,741)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.0% (766)
+28.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Crosby
Home
52.6% (215)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
45.1% (268)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Aucoin
Crosby
P1
45.8%
53.6%
P2
49.2%
53.8%
P3
51.9%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |