Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 86.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 95.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 93.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Dvorak
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Dvorak
Hayes
Last 5: Dvorak 5-0 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
42.7% (478)
+13.0%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
42.9% (98)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
45.2% (31)
+12.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hayes
Home
59.0% (432)
43.5% (232)
Away
54.8% (535)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Dvorak
Hayes
P1
58.7%
40.1%
P2
53.9%
44.8%
P3
57.2%
42.4%
OT
70.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
56.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |