Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.2% vs Hayes 49.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 69.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Eichel
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Eichel
Hayes
Last 9: Eichel 7-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
0
Eichel
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Eichel
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,023)
50.5% (764)
-4.9%
Power Play
55.8% (197)
53.3% (90)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (50)
38.6% (127)
+3.4%
On even strength, Hayes has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Eichel is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Eichel shoots right. Hayes is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hayes
Home
45.4% (604)
49.0% (531)
Away
48.5% (666)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Eichel
Hayes
P1
48.3%
52.3%
P2
49.6%
45.8%
P3
43.8%
50.2%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
47.0%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |