Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Rooney 47.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.7%
Defensive zone
Rooney 66.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Hayes
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayes
Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Rooney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
Hayes
Rooney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
47.0% (319)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
57.1% (7)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
47.1% (87)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rooney
Home
50.5% (200)
45.8% (203)
Away
53.4% (253)
48.6% (210)
By Period
Hayes
Rooney
P1
58.8%
47.2%
P2
49.3%
55.0%
P3
48.0%
37.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |