Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 78.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 77.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Hayes
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Hayes
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
56.2% (650)
-24.3%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
53.2% (47)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.6% (312)
-51.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stenlund
Home
30.6% (49)
56.9% (483)
Away
40.4% (57)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Hayes
Stenlund
P1
22.9%
54.2%
P2
40.0%
53.2%
P3
44.4%
56.9%
Final 5 min
30.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |