Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Hayes
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
46.5% (919)
-14.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
48.7% (187)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (54)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Hayes
Scheifele
Home
30.6% (49)
46.6% (605)
Away
40.4% (57)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Hayes
Scheifele
P1
22.9%
52.3%
P2
40.0%
45.3%
P3
44.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
30.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%