Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 33.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Zibanejad 48.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 81.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 87.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Hayes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Hayes
Zibanejad
Last 6: Hayes 0-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hayes
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hayes
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Hayes
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
49.1% (1,031)
-12.0%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
47.5% (200)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
46.7% (30)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hayes is 33.2% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Hayes shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (834).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zibanejad
Home
36.7% (354)
52.0% (658)
Away
35.8% (327)
45.3% (603)
By Period
Hayes
Zibanejad
P1
33.6%
48.0%
P2
38.3%
53.2%
P3
37.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
39.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
36.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |