Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Granlund 48.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Hayes
Granlund
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
5
Hayes
Granlund
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
6
Hayes
Granlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
9
10
Hayes
Granlund
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
48.6% (6,765)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
53.0% (760)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
43.6% (635)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
47.5%
48.8%
P2
47.6%
48.7%
P3
47.9%
48.5%
OT
54.1%
43.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |