Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Kadri 46.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 66.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 58.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
46.5% (866)
-14.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
48.8% (86)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.5% (13)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
30.6% (49)
45.8% (513)
Away
40.4% (57)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
22.9%
52.4%
P2
40.0%
48.5%
P3
44.4%
39.7%
Final 5 min
30.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |