Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Hayes
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
51.0% (671)
-19.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
0.0% (2)
+64.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.5% (224)
-41.5%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dowd
Home
30.6% (49)
48.2% (471)
Away
40.4% (57)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Hayes
Dowd
P1
22.9%
48.3%
P2
40.0%
46.8%
P3
44.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
30.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%