Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Bonino 50.8% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayes
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
51.8% (305)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
48.5% (101)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bonino
Home
58.0% (405)
53.1% (177)
Away
56.1% (433)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Hayes
Bonino
P1
54.7%
55.9%
P2
55.7%
49.6%
P3
60.2%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%