Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
51.3% (945)
-19.4%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
50.7% (282)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.3% (67)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
30.6% (49)
51.0% (637)
Away
40.4% (57)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
22.9%
53.1%
P2
40.0%
47.4%
P3
44.4%
51.3%
Final 5 min
30.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |