Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Hischier 51.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Hayes
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Hayes
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
51.0% (1,011)
-8.3%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
58.2% (261)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
47.7% (130)
-2.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hischier
Home
43.5% (232)
52.8% (665)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Hayes
Hischier
P1
40.1%
53.8%
P2
44.8%
53.8%
P3
42.4%
49.5%
OT
80.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |