Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 79.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 80.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Hayes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Hayes
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Hayes
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
63.8% (1,102)
-21.1%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
65.3% (288)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
47.6% (210)
-2.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bergeron
Home
43.5% (232)
62.5% (882)
Away
42.4% (375)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Hayes
Bergeron
P1
40.1%
62.5%
P2
44.8%
62.7%
P3
42.4%
60.6%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |