Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Krebs 46.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 55.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 54.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 56.7%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hayes
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayes
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Hayes
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
47.2% (542)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
54.2% (24)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
31.3% (48)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Hayes
Krebs
Home
58.0% (405)
45.5% (312)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Hayes
Krebs
P1
54.7%
46.6%
P2
55.7%
42.7%
P3
60.2%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |