Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Danault 54.5% (-19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 62.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 88.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 69.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Hayes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
56.2% (745)
-24.3%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
45.1% (51)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.6% (124)
-51.6%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Hayes
Danault
Home
30.6% (49)
56.7% (402)
Away
40.4% (57)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Hayes
Danault
P1
22.9%
55.5%
P2
40.0%
54.2%
P3
44.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
30.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |