Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Carrick 54.2% (-19.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayes
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
55.5% (470)
-23.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
66.7% (3)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (58)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Hayes
Carrick
Home
30.6% (49)
58.6% (261)
Away
40.4% (57)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Hayes
Carrick
P1
22.9%
55.9%
P2
40.0%
53.5%
P3
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
30.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%