Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Nosek 48.5% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Hayes
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
52.0% (102)
-20.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
100.0% (2)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
29.0% (31)
-29.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nosek
Home
30.6% (49)
52.0% (50)
Away
40.4% (57)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Hayes
Nosek
P1
22.9%
45.0%
P2
40.0%
42.0%
P3
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
30.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%