Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 22 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Zajac 54.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 37-33 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 74.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Hayes
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
37
(70 meetings)
33
37
Hayes
Zajac
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
9
13
Hayes
Zajac
22 total
Defensive Zone
Even
16
16
Hayes
Zajac
32 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Hayes
Zajac
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
54.4% (9,056)
-6.8%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
59.1% (1,498)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
48.6% (1,599)
-3.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Hayes shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zajac
Home
48.1% (3,982)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Hayes
Zajac
P1
47.5%
53.8%
P2
47.7%
55.6%
P3
47.9%
53.6%
OT
54.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |